Thursday, January 30, 2025

Skousen CAFE: A GOLDEN Investment Opportunity in 2025

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A GOLDEN Investment Opportunity in 2025

By Mark Skousen
Editor, Forecasts & Strategies

01/30/2025

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"The only currency that still has value after 5,000 years is gold." -- Martin Truax ("Maxims of Wall Street," p. 152)

"All that glitters isn't gold, but the really good stuff is." -- Chip Wood (p. 151)

Special Announcement: Our "Super Early Bird" discount to FreedomFest ends tomorrow! See details below.

Last year, we witnessed a series of investments that, at one time or another, became the best performers. It was like a game of musical chairs. First it was technology… then Argentina… followed by Bitcoin… and ending with financial stocks…

Even gold did well last year, rising 27% and beating the Dow and the S&P 500 Index.

The Great Rotation continues… What's hot now? Gold mining stocks! For the first time in decades, they have stolen the spotlight in January, rising by double-digit-percentages.

What's fueling gold? Inflation fears, geopolitical tensions, a declining dollar and the fear of a "black swan" event during the unpredictable Donald Trump's second presidency.

The Trump administration is predicting a new "golden era," but I don't think they had the yellow metal in mind. Trump focuses on the stock market as evidence of his success, not a safe haven like gold.

Stocks are priced to perfection and could crash at any time (like Nvidia on Monday). But gold continues to move higher.

Gold Has Become a Superior Inflation Hedge

Many investors don't realize it, but gold and silver have been superior inflation hedges since we went off the gold standard in 1971, when it was fixed at $35 an ounce.

Gold has risen an astonishing 7,757% since we went off the gold standard in 1971, for an annualized compounded return of 8.6%!

That's almost as good as the S&P 500 Index Fund, which has risen 10% a year since 1971.

It's even outperformed the stock market in the 21st century. (See chart below.) That's pretty good for a commodity that doesn't pay interest.



In the early 1970s, I wrote my PhD dissertation on "The 100% Gold Standard," and received my degree at George Washington University in 1977.

During this time, I began my career on Wall Street, and my first investment was gold and silver coins, followed the advice of Harry Browne's book, "You Can Profit from a Monetary Crisis," which was a bestseller in 1974. I've never forgotten my roots.

Top 20 Living Economist Shares the Largest Position in His Personal IRA

Investing legend Dr. Mark Skousen gave a talk to a small group in the heart of Washington, D.C. In it, he revealed the cornerstone of his retirement plan – and the one investment that helped make him a millionaire. Click here to watch Dr. Skousen's presentation.
Doti-Spogli Free EnterPRIZE Pays Out in Gold!

This Year's Winner Is…

Recently, I was appointed the first Doti-Spogli Chair of Free Enterprise at Chapman University, where I teach economics, business and finance.

In addition to teaching, I'm in charge of a committee here at Chapman to give out a special award every year to an individual who best promotes free enterprise. It's called the Doti-Spogli Free EnterPRIZE. The winner receives a statue of Adam Smith and a financial prize of five American Eagle one-ounce gold coins.

Originally, the committee wanted to give out a prize of $10,000, but I convinced them to give out five gold eagle coins rather than cash. The dollar loses value every year -- why not give a financial prize that will increase in value over the long term? Indeed, since we began the award, the five gold coins have increased in value from $10,000 to over $13,000 today!

The first winner was Nobel laureate Vernon Smith in 2023. Last year's recipient was John Mackey, the former founder and CEO of Whole Foods Market.

This year, I'm happy to announce the winner is Steve Forbes, chairman and editor in chief of Forbes media.


Steve Forbes and Mark Skousen holding a gold coin.


The award ceremony will take place on Tuesday, April 29, at Chapman University. Stay tuned for more information.

Will We Return to the Gold Standard?

Speaking of Steve Forbes, he has been a long-term advocate of the gold standard. He wants to tie the dollar to gold. He recommends that the Fed should use gold as a tool of monetary policy. For example: if gold goes above $2,800 an ounce, the Fed should tighten money; if it falls below $2,800, the Fed should loosen money.

A less ambitious policy has been advocated by Judy Shelton, author of the new book "Good as Gold: How to Unleash the Power of Sound Money," published a few months ago by the Independent Institute.



You can order it here.

Forbes says the book is "worth its weight in gold." I agree. It's a brilliant work. In it, she suggests that in addition to issuing Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPs), the U.S. Treasury should issue gold-backed government bonds. Shelton firmly believes issuing gold-backed securities (redeemable in gold after 30 years) will strongly discourage inflation since the U.S. government would be forced to pay back their debt in higher priced gold. "It will be more powerful than TIPs in fighting inflation," she told me. I hope she's right.

I'm organizing a session at FreedomFest on "Good As Gold: What Is the Best Monetary Standard to Fight Inflation?" Panelists will include Steve Forbes and John Tamny (RealClearMarkets). Not to be missed! (See announcement below.)

We have entered a period of permanent inflation, and I doubt if "The Donald" can stop it. So, we investors must focus on inflation hedges like gold.

Is It Time for the Gold Miners to Shine?

What about mining stocks? They used to be a way to leverage profits during a bull market in gold, such as in the 1970s. But then things changed.

As this chart shows, mining stocks have underperformed gold itself for years (until now):



In fact, not a single major gold mining company has had a good long-term record. Newmont Mining, American Barick and other top producers have not kept up with the price of gold bullion over the past 40 years.

There are several reasons: increased environmental regulations, slow permitting and rising costs in finding new mines. It's a dirty business.

But as Bob Dylan sang, a new era is "blowing in the wind."

A Leveraged Position in Gold

Last year, I decided it was time for the miners to come to life. So far, that seems to be the case. My favorite mining stock is now up 20% in January alone, and could move sharply higher if gold hits new highs.

The Bank of Singapore is now predicting gold will jump to $2,900 an ounce and may even rally to $3,000 in response to the Trump tax cuts and protectionist policies.

It's possible that even the penny mining stocks will come to life. As Jerry Pogue once said, "When the wind blows, even the turkeys will fly!" (Maxims, p. 153)

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There's Gold in the Maxims of Wall Street!

In the new 11th edition of my quote book "The Maxims of Wall Street," has 4-5 pages on investing in the yellow metal and mining stocks.

I like this quote from commodity expert Rick Rule: "You've endured the pain, why not enjoy the gain?" (p. 154)

Every investor should have a copy of this "Golden Bible of Investing" as Alex Green, the chief investment strategist at the Oxford Club, calls it. He writes:

"Mark Skousen has collected a treasure trove of proverbs, slogans, stories and juicy quotes in the Maxims. He provides plenty of stories and commentary to go with these gems. I refer to it regularly."

A Financial Quote for the Day

At a recent MoneyShow, I met up with one of our new editors at Eagle, Hugh Grossman, who writes the popular "Day Trade Spy" trading service.

He wrote our publisher the following: "I must say, I have a bone to pick with Mark. I bought his book, 'The Maxims of Wall Street,' and it kept me glued to it until about 2:30 this morning when I could no longer stay awake… it is just that compelling! Most other trading books are a sure cure for insomnia… not Maxims! Well done, Mark! Getting that book was worth every cent of the trip for me." Thank you, Hugh.

He suggested this quote for the day using a baseball analogy: "The odd home run creates short-term riches but it's the singles and doubles that create long-term wealth!" 

The Maxims isn't just a series of financial quotes, but each statement is found in a specific category, such as "growth and income," "contrary investing" and "penny stocks and gold bugs."

Plus, there are lots of short stories, including the ever-popular "Rich Man's Pearls of Wisdom" (six in all).

As Dennis Gartman, editor of the Gartman Letter, told me, "It's amazing the depth of wisdom one can find in just one or two lines from your book. I have it on my desk and refer to it daily."

That's what I hear from readers more and more. They don't just read it once and put it on the shelf gathering dust. They keep it in their office or bedroom and read from it regularly.

And Kim Githler, president of the MoneyShow, likes the book so much that she highlights the quotes on the screen every day at the MoneyShow. "It's my favorite book. Every quote is a lesson in finance."

Subscribers continue to order multiple copies -- including one order this week for a whole box (32 copies) -- to give out to friends, relatives, colleagues and clients. It makes the ideal gift.

Mike Antonovich, former commissioner and mayor of Los Angeles County, bought two boxes to give out to friends and relatives.



As Bert Dohmen, editor of the Wellington Letter, states, "Beautifully bound collector's item, it should be on every investor's bookshelf and read regularly."

Despite rising inflation, I've kept the price at a bargain: $21 for the first copy, and all additional copies $11 each. (A full box of 32 is only $327.) I autograph and number each copy and mail them at no additional charge inside the United States.

To order, go to www.skousenbooks.com.

'Super Early Bird' Discount Ends Tomorrow!

In other news, our "super early bird" discount ends this tomorrow, Jan. 31, on our fabulous FreedomFest in Palm Springs, California, this summer (June 11-14).

Our top financial speakers will be there, including Alex Green (Oxford Club) and Jim Woods, co-editor of my Fast Money Alert trading service. Plus, George Gilder and Richard Vigilante, editors of Technology "Guideposts" Report, published by Eagle… who are the world's experts on AI and advances in global information.

We have also confirmed Jim Rogers, the famous financial guru, who will be coming from Singapore to address us on "China vs. USA: Who Is Winning the Battle of the Super Powers?"



Plus, These New Speakers Added!

Steve Forbes, our co-ambassador and winner of this year's Doti-Spogli Free EnterPRIZE at Chapman University.

Michael Levine, considered the "Michael Jordan of Entertainment PR," who has represented celebrities such as Michael JacksonBarbra Streisand and Charlton Heston. Not to be missed!

And, speaking of Hollywood, we are also happy to welcome back Marc Eliot, Hollywood's biographer, who will talk about Hollywood's love affair with Palm Springs as THE getaway for the jet set; he will be leading a tour of the exterior homes of Frank Sinatra and other celebrities. (And yes, Ronald and Nancy Reagan were frequent guests at the homes of other celebrities in the area.)

Also, Larry Sanger, the co-founder of Wikipedia (he came up with the name), will speak on "The Threat of Centralized Control of Social Media and What Can Be Done About It"…

I will also be debating John Tamny, publisher and editor of RealClearMarkets, on his dangerous new book "The Deficit Delusion."

Just added: Eric Weiner, author of the bestseller, "Ben and Me: In Search of a Founder's Formula for a Long and Useful Life."

Now is the time to sign up for the greatest libertarian show on earth. Dates are June 11-14, 2025, at the Palm Springs Convention Center in California. The beautiful Renaissance Resort Hotel is right next door.

Many attendees are making it a family vacation, a chance to visit the golden state without having to pay California's high taxes.

See you in Palm Springs in June!

Take advantage of our "early bird" discount, only $400 per person, by going to www.freedomfest.com, or calling Hayley at 1-855-850-3733, ext. 201. Be sure to use code EagleSEB to get the $400 price.

Good Investing, AEIOU,

Mark Skousen

Mark Skousen
Doti-Spogli Endowed Chair of Free Enterprise, Chapman University
Wikipedia
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You Blew It!

America's Economist Speaks Out About Religion

By Mark Skousen
Editor, Forecasts & Strategies

"Doubtlessly, faith has its use in the world; I do not desire to see it diminished, nor would I endeavor to lessen it in any man. But I wish it were more productive of good works than I have generally seen: I mean real good works, works of kindness, charity, mercy and public spirit; not holiday-keeping, sermon-reading or hearing, performing church ceremonies, or making long prayers, filled with flatteries and compliments, despised even by wise men and much less capable of pleasing the Deity." -- Benjamin Franklin 

Over the past two months, I was interviewed for the first time about my religious views and my Mormon faith. The program is called "My Faith with Homer and Pip."

The first interview was early in December. You can watch it here.

The reviews were so favorable that they asked me to do a follow up interview on my views about religion and the economy.

The second interview occurred in January. Watch it here.

During cruises, when Sunday comes around, I often give a "Sermon on Wealth," and tell the story of John Wesley, the founder of the Methodist Church. He was the first Christian minister to give a positive sermon on money-making. He told his followers that the three grand principles of financial success are:

--Earn all you can.

--Save all you can.

--Give all you can.

Notice he did not say "spend all you can."

About Mark Skousen, Ph.D.:


Mark SkousenMark Skousen is an investment advisor, professional economist, university professor, author of more than 20 books, and founder of the annual FreedomFest conference. For the past 40+ years, Dr. Skousen has been investment director of the award-winning newsletter, Forecasts & Strategies. He also serves as investment director of four trading services: TNT Trader, Five Star Trader, Low Priced-Stock Trader, and Fast Money Alert.
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