Friday, January 24, 2025

My No. 1 Play on Trump's Executive Orders

Total Wealth

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My No. 1 Play on Trump's Executive Orders

Shah Gilani

Shah Gilani
Chief Investment Strategist

President Trump's Day 1 executive orders have set off a frenzy...

As analysts and investors try to gauge the potential fallout.

These orders could unleash huge disruptions and volatility in the markets, profoundly shaping your investments this year.

There are three sectors I want to focus on today... and what the opportunity is for investors.

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Day 1 Declarations

I'm talking about Trump's executive orders dealing in trade, healthcare, and technology.

They lay out strict trade policies to curb dependence on foreign manufacturing... sweeping healthcare regulations... and enticing tax incentives for technological advancements.

At the heart of these executive orders lies a bold vision for American economic independence.

The new trade policies aim to strengthen domestic manufacturing through a combination of increased tariffs on imported goods and substantial subsidies for local producers.

This protectionist approach promises to create American jobs and secure vital supply chains. But it also risks triggering retaliatory measures from trading partners, potentially igniting costly trade wars.

The healthcare sector faces equally dramatic changes. The executive orders seek to address the high cost of healthcare. They will dismantle key provisions of the Affordable Care Act and implement aggressive drug pricing controls.

However, such sweeping regulatory changes create significant uncertainty for pharmaceutical companies, insurers, and healthcare providers. They will face an evolving regulatory landscape while maintaining profitability.

In the technology sector, Trump's policies take a more incentive-based approach. Through generous tax breaks for research and development, the administration aims to speed up American innovation and maintain technological supremacy.

This strategic focus on tech advancement could catalyze a new wave of investment in cutting-edge fields like artificial intelligence, biotechnology, and renewable energy.

These policies present both opportunities and risks for investors...

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Go Bulls

The bull case centers on economic stimulation through increased domestic production and technological innovation.

Rising employment from manufacturing growth could boost consumer spending, while tech sector incentives might unlock new market opportunities.

Plus, reduced foreign dependency could strengthen investor confidence in the U.S. economy.

However, the bear case cannot be ignored...

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Playing Defense

The risk of trade wars looms large, threatening to disrupt global supply chains and increase costs for American businesses.

Healthcare sector uncertainty could stifle investment and innovation, while overemphasis on technology risks creating a bubble reminiscent of the dot-com era.

And economic isolation could ultimately weaken American competitiveness in the global marketplace.

While the bull case for stocks in 2025 highlights the potential for economic growth and innovation, the bear case underscores the risks of trade wars, regulatory uncertainty, and market imbalances.

The immediate effect of these executive orders will be more market volatility.

And if you're a fan of volatility, like I am, you know one way to play volatility swings is with the VIX.

I like to buy VIX call spreads when the VIX is trading below trend, setting reasonable profit targets to cash in when volatility spikes... and then quickly buying VIX put spreads whenever the VIX soars above 28.

While President Trump's executive orders aim to strengthen American economic independence, their implementation will likely create significant market turbulence.

Smart investors will pay careful attention to sector-specific impacts and a have a strategic approach to volatility trading.

It's going to be a fun year for traders.

Strap in and get ready for a wild ride.

Cheers,

Shah

P.S. You can't talk about tech without mentioning AI... Trump's $500 billion Stargate project and new AI executive order just created an unprecedented opportunity in the tech sector. The company I've uncovered has more AI patents than Silicon Valley's biggest names combined. And with Trump's new initiatives accelerating AI development, its value could explode. But you'll need to act before March 18, when a major announcement could send this stock soaring. Details here.

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