Tuesday, August 26, 2025

Rate Cuts Are Coming... and So Is Inflation

Shield

AN OXFORD CLUB PUBLICATION

Loyal reader since December 2024

Wealthy Retirement

SPONSORED

Buffett, Gates and Bezos Quietly Dumping Stocks—Here's Why

Bull Money
 

The world's wealthiest individuals are making huge moves with their money.

Warren Buffett just liquidated billions of shares. Bill Gates sold 500,000 shares of Microsoft. Jeff Bezos filed to sell Amazon shares worth $4.8 billion.

What is going on? One multi-millionaire believes they are preparing for a catastrophic event. But not a crash, bank run, or recession. It’s something we haven’t see in America for more than a century. For the full story, click here.

Rate Cuts Are Coming... and So Is Inflation

Marc Lichtenfeld, Chief Income Strategist, The Oxford Club

Marc Lichtenfeld

Last week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled that the Fed is likely to lower interest rates this year.

The market jumped as a result.

Investors should tread carefully - not because valuations are at historically high levels (though that is true), but because inflation is likely to burn hot if the Fed lowers rates.

Powell himself said the Fed has to manage both employment, which continues to stagnate, and inflation, which continues to rise. A rate cut only adds gasoline to the inflation fire.

In January, in the Forecast Issue of my newsletter, The Oxford Income Letter, I predicted that inflation would spike in 2025. A Fed rate cut would likely make that forecast a slam dunk.

There are not many investments that keep up with inflation - particularly ones that generate income.

Fixed income doesn't do the trick. If you're earning $1,000 a year in fixed income and prices rise 5%, something that used to cost $1,000 last year now costs $1,050. But your $1,000 in fixed income interest doesn't budge, so you have a $50 hole to make up.

One of the only ways to combat inflation is with dividend growth stocks.

These companies pay dividends (usually quarterly) and raise their dividends each year. If you have a stock whose dividend is hiked by a meaningful amount, you could actually increase your buying power, even in periods of rising inflation.

For example, Civista Bancshares (Nasdaq: CIVB), a microcap bank based in Ohio, has been around since 1884. Today, the stock yields 3.2%, but the company has raised its dividend every year since 2012 at a compound annual growth rate of over 13%. The most recent dividend increase was lower at 6.3%, but that is still above the current inflation rate, so it still boosted shareholders' buying power.

SPONSORED

Man Who Called Nvidia at $1.10: THIS NEW STOCK is the Next Trillion Dollar Company

AG Magnificent Seven
 

Biggest Tech Firms in the World are Loading Up! And Apple Just Signed a Deal Through 2040. Get the Whole Story Here.

Chevron (NYSE: CVX) is another solid dividend growth stock. The oil and gas giant has a current yield of 4.3% and has raised its dividend every year for 36 years.

The most recent increase was 5%, which as of now is higher than inflation.

Over the past 50 years, companies that raised or initiated a dividend outperformed the equal-weighted S&P 500 by nearly 3.5 times. They beat non-dividend payers by more than 1,700%.

Chart: Dividend Payers Crush All Other Stocks
View larger image
 

Furthermore, when the spit hits the fan, dividend growers are safer than the overall market. The S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Index, which tracks companies in the S&P 500 that have raised their dividends every year for at least 25 years, is 10% less volatile than the broad market.

In other words, during a correction, the Aristocrats should decline less than other stocks.

Rates are coming down, and inflation is going higher. Investors should look toward dividend growth stocks to keep up with inflation - or else risk seeing their purchasing power be reduced.

Good investing,

Marc

P.S. I'm giving away details on five of my favorite dividend stocks for FREE today.

These include...

  • One of my all-time favorite dividend stocks
  • A stock that pays what I call "the safest high-yield dividend in the world"
  • My top three "Extreme Dividend" stocks.

Click here to learn more.

Leave a Comment
This

Alexander Green Discovers Tiny Cancer Detection Stock

This Tiny Biotech's Blood Test Catches Cancer at Stage One

SPONSORED

PROOF: New One Ticker (Weekly) Payouts

Calendar: January
 

A multimillionaire stock trader's research explains how focusing on just one ticker every week has generated payouts up to a rare 2,614% in under 11 days...

AND he's brought proof to show the world!

SEE THE PROOF

No comments:

Post a Comment