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Dear Fellow Investor,
Company: Walmart (SYM: WMT)
Keep an eye on Walmart (SYM: WMT).
After running from about $80 to a high of $105.30, the retail giant gapped to $92.64.
All after the company issued a weak forecast for 2025 and cautioned about the impact of tariffs. In its fourth quarter, the company posted adjusted EPS of 66 cents, as compared to expectations of 65 cents. Revenue jumped 4.1% year over year to $180.6 billion, which was slightly above estimates of $180 billion.
For the full year, Walmart sees net sales increasing by 3% to 4% year over year. Analysts were forecasting 4% growth. Adjusted earnings per share will range from $2.50 to $2.60, which is below the $2.77 analysts were looking for.
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First-quarter guidance was also below expectations. Adjusted earnings per share will range from 57 cents to 58 cents, as compared to estimates of 64 cents. While guidance was nothing to write home about, it appears the guidance negativity has been priced in.
In addition, as noted by Walmart President and CEO Doug McMillon:
"Our team finished the year with another quarter of strong results. We have momentum driven by our low prices, a growing assortment, and an eCommerce business driven by faster delivery times. We’re gaining market share, our top line is healthy, and we’re in great shape with inventory. We’ll stay focused on growth, improving operating margins, and strengthening ROI as we invest to serve our customers and members even better.”
Helping, the company just approved an annual cash dividend for fiscal year 2026 of $0.94 per share. That will be paid in four quarterly installments of $0.235 per share, with its next dividend being paid out on April 7 to shareholders of record as of March 21.
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Also, to help with potential tariff concerns, the company is asking suppliers in China to decrease their prices by up to 10% per round of tariff, according to Bloomberg. That would essentially shift the burden of tariffs on the suppliers. We’re not so sure it’ll happen, though.
At the moment, “Sources indicate that the retail giant's efforts to receive price concessions of as much as 10% are facing strong pushback from the suppliers in the region. Negotiations are reportedly being held with individual manufacturers, and the price cuts being requested vary by firm,” as noted by Seeking Alpha.
That being said, avoid buying WMT just yet. Once tariff negativity is priced into the stock, and WMT starts to show signs of bottoming out, it’ll be a screaming buy again.
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