Wednesday, July 9, 2025

Are Small Caps About to Have Their Moment?

Shield

AN OXFORD CLUB PUBLICATION

Loyal reader since November 2024

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Why Small Cap Stocks Could Outperform in the Next Market Rally

Matt Benjamin, Senior Markets Expert, The Oxford Club

Matt Benjamin

Are small cap stocks about to have their moment?

It seems that may be the case...

Considering large caps, as measured by the S&P 500, have done the heavy lifting of the current stock market rally.

And the Magnificent Seven - a group of seven megacap technology growth stocks associated with artificial intelligence - have led the way. Because the S&P 500 is a weighted index, companies with the largest market caps have a bigger impact on it. And all of the Magnificent Seven stocks are among the 11 largest firms in the world.

But the Magnificent Seven's recent run - as a group they're up 230% since October 2022, the beginning of the current bull market - has also made them very expensive.

The forward price-to-earnings ratio (p/e) of the Magnificent Seven now stands at 28.6. That's far higher than the S&P 500 p/e (22.2) and nearly double that of the S&P Small Cap 600 Index (just 15.6).

And now, several challenges that have held small cap companies back are receding. So there are suddenly new opportunities in the small cap space.

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